Arsenal vs West Ham: Prediction and Preview

West Ham have won four of their nine Premier League away games this season (D1 L4), already more than they won on the road in the whole of last season (W3 D3 L13). However, the Hammers are without a clean sheet in their last 13 away from home in the league, shipping 31 goals in the process.

The Hammers have won four of their last six games in all competitions, though did concede five goals in the each of their two defeats in that run (5-0 v Fulham in the Premier League, 5-1 v Liverpool in the EFL Cup). Their last two league wins saw them beat Wolves and Man Utd at home, but West Ham’s most recent away win did come in north London, beating Tottenham 2-1 earlier this month. Their other win in that run came against Freiburg in the Europa League.

Opta Power Rankings

The Opta Power Rankings are a global team ranking system that assigns an ability score to over 13,000 domestic football teams on a scale between zero and 100, where zero is the worst-ranked team in the world and 100 is the best team in the world.

Ahead of kick-off in this game, here is the Opta Power Ranking for both sides.

Arsenal vs West Ham Opta Player Ratings
The Opta Player Ratings are something we introduced ahead of 2023-24. For a quick primer on how they’re calculated, you can check our explainer here.

Before kick-off in this match, here are the top five performing players from both teams in the 2023-24 Premier League according to the Opta Player Ratings:

Arsenal
Declan Rice: 80.6 (out of 100)
Oleksandr Zinchenko: 80.5
Martin Ødegaard: 78.1
Ben White: 74.6
William Saliba: 73.0

West Ham
Mohammed Kudus: 79.9
Jarrod Bowen: 79.3
James Ward-Prowse: 75.3
Emerson: 69.6
Kurt Zouma: 66.6

The Opta supercomputer is backing Arsenal’s strong home record against West Ham. Arteta’s side won 57.1% of the 10,000 simulations carried out by the supercomputer before kick-off.

Never rule the Hammers out, though, as they took all three points away from the Emirates 18.5% of the time, while a draw occurred on 24.4% of occasions.

Arsenal remain second favourites to win the title behind defending champions Manchester City. Heading into this one, the Gunners are judged to have a 27.3% chance of securing their first league title since 2003-04.

West Ham have had a bit of a mixed campaign so far, but the supercomputer believes they can finish strongly. Their likeliest finish in the league table as things stand is sixth, which would secure European football again.

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